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How To Price Your Products:
A Profit Margin Guide for Grocery Stores

Independent grocery stores are vital hubs for our neighborhoods, and welcome alternatives to big chains thanks to their exceptional customer service, varied product selection, and dedication to their communities.

But running a successful grocery store is no easy task. 

Profits are razor thin, with experts estimating the average profit margin between 1.6% and 3.5%. With rising prices and economic uncertainty, many local grocery store owners feel like they’re fighting an uphill battle when trying to price their products fairly and still turn a profit.

With a deep understanding of grocery store finances and a smart pricing strategy, local grocery stores can weather the storm and find long-term success. 

In this guide, we’ll break down everything you need to know about pricing the products in your store, including practical tips and action plans you can implement today. 

Chapters

The Basics of Grocery Store Profit Margins

Before we dive into specific pricing strategies, let’s give a quick overview of the basics.

Types of Profit Margins

Below is an overview of gross and net profit margins. Put simply, your gross profits measure how much your store makes before you pay other business expenses (staffing costs, taxes, utilities, rent, etc.). Your net profit is your bottom line. In other words, a healthy gross profit doesn’t always translate to healthy financial performance.

Gross Profit Margin

Your store’s gross profit is calculated by subtracting the cost of goods sold (COGS) from your revenue. To see your gross profit margin, use this equation:

POSN Grocery Guide - Gross Profit Equation

 

Net Profit Margin

Your net profit is calculated by subtracting your total expenses from your gross income. To see your net profit margin, use this equation:

POSN Grocery Guide - Net Profit Equation

 

 

Profit Margins By Department

Profits don’t just vary by store but by department and even by item. Here’s a breakdown of how different grocery store departments perform:

 

POSN profit margins by department

Pricing Formulas Simplified

Pricing your products is a tricky balancing act between earning a profit and keeping customers happy. There are two basic formulas grocery stores use to determine the price of their products: margin and markup.

Grocery Store Pricing Formulas

There are two important terms to know when it comes to pricing formulas: markup and margin. 

The two words are sometimes used interchangeably, but a bigger markup doesn’t equal the same profit margin. For example, let’s say you buy cans of soup from your supplier at $3.50 per can and sell them at $5.25. That would be a 50% markup and a 33% margin percentage

Knowing both calculations will help you ultimately come up with a better pricing strategy.

POSN Grocery Guide - Markup Icon

Markup formula

 

POSN Grocery Guide - Markup Percentage Equation

Markup is used when a retailer wants to earn a fixed amount per item sold. It’s typically used as part of a pricing strategy when offering new products or with products that have very consistent and stable costs.

POSN Grocery Guide - Margin Icon

Margin formula

POSN Grocery Guide - Margin Percentage Equation

While very similar to markup, a margin calculation determines the profit margin based on the COGS. Margin is generally used for financial planning and when adjusting prices after getting familiar with your sales data.

The Best Grocery Store Pricing Strategies
(and When To Use Them)

Pricing products should be simple. The basic goal of any pricing strategy is to sell an item for more than you buy it for, right? 

While this is true, a lot more goes into grocery store pricing strategy, especially since a typical grocery store carries tens of thousands of unique products, many of which change or become unavailable seasonally.

Here are the essential pricing strategies you need to know.

Cost-Plus Pricing

POSN Grocery Guide - Cost Plus Pricing Example

What it is

Cost-plus pricing is the simplest approach to pricing, which is why it’s both loved and hated among pricing experts. For cost-plus pricing, you simply set the sale price by adding a fixed markup to the cost of goods sold. 

When to use it

Cost-plus pricing is best used for products with stable supplier and ingredient costs or lower-cost items with high stock rotation. If you sell unique items (e.g., homemade deli items) and don’t have something to compare them to, cost-plus pricing is a good way to test the waters and see how they perform. 

Cost-plus pricing isn’t a great long-term strategy for many items. While you’re guaranteed a profit, you might undervalue products that customers are willing to pay more for. This method also ignores swings in demand, supply chain disruption, or competitors’ pricing.

How to use it

POSN Grocery Guide - Cost Plus Pricing Equation

Cost-plus pricing is easy to calculate. For example, if you get bags of of chips from a supplier for $2.50 a bag and want to apply a 70% markup, you’ll sell them for $4.25.

$2.50 x (1 + 0.70) = $4.25

 

Competitive Pricing

POSN Grocery Guide - Competitive Pricing Example

What it is

Competitive pricing is when you set prices based on your rival businesses. While many companies use this tactic to bring customers into their store with low prices, competitive pricing isn’t always about being the cheapest. If you offer high-quality local food, you may use a competitive pricing strategy to raise your prices instead.

When to use it

Competitive pricing is often used in the grocery and supermarket industry because many stores carry similar products. Competitive pricing is helpful because it helps you set benchmarks based on other businesses. It also ensures you don’t drastically under or overvalue your products. 

How to use it

Start by identifying your local competitors and doing some market research. Consider things like: 

  • How the quality of your products compare to competitors
  • How customers perceive your brand
  • How much demand there is for particular items
  • What the local market rates are for certain products

You can also use third-party services like UNFI to assess prices on an industry-wide or regional scale.

When implementing competitive pricing, have a clear and quantifiable goal in mind. Last, remember that while customers are looking for the best deal, that doesn’t always mean having the lowest price tag — so be creative with product bundles and other promotions.

Loss Leader Pricing

POSN Guide - Rotisserie chicken

What it is

A loss leader is a product that sells for less than its cost in order to sell other, more profitable products and drive foot traffic. Here are some common examples of grocery store loss leaders:

  • Whole rotisserie chickens at lower prices
  • Offering free flu shots with a $20 grocery discount
  • Selling bags of rice for a few dollars apiece
  • 50% discounts on Fridays on ready meals or select items

Items could either be consistently kept at a low price or temporarily made a loss leader as part of a product bundle or promotion. 

When to use it

Loss leaders are commonly used in grocery stores because people rarely go into a store for just one item. By selling a few products at a loss, your brand seems more affordable, and it encourages customers to take advantage of the savings by buying other products in the store.

For most grocery stores, loss leaders are used for short-term promotions. Companies like Costco can afford to keep selling their famously cheap $1.50 hot dog and other items for years on end because their business model involves membership fees and large purchases that more than make up for the cost.

How to use it

Implementing a loss leader strategy requires carefully reviewing your products and looking for items with high demand or ones that naturally lead to other purchases. In other words, you don’t want to sell products at a loss if customers aren’t likely to buy anything else. 

Start by trying out a loss leader strategy as part of a holiday sale or planned promotional event, then use the sales data on your point of sale (POS) system to see how it affected average cart size and sales.

Variable and Seasonal Pricing

 ITR Blog - Produce Dispplay Example

What it is

Pricing in supermarkets is tricky because produce and many other food items are highly seasonal, perishable, and fluctuate in demand. Variable pricing, also known as dynamic pricing, is when retailers adjust the margins on individual products based on:

  • Seasonality
  • Local demand
  • Product freshness
When to use it

Variable pricing is most often implemented in grocery stores to help cut down on food waste and ensure that in-season fruits and vegetables don’t spoil. One common example is when items close to their expiration date get discounted. 

Produce prices, in particular, fluctuate throughout the year. Generally speaking, produce has an inverse price to freshness pricing, with lower prices reflecting fresher produce since there’s a higher supply and lower transport costs.

USDA - Produce Variable

Source: USDA

Variable pricing can also be used to account for seasonal fluctuations, like pricing potatoes,  bread, and other high-demand items more competitively around Thanksgiving. 

How to use it

While some larger brands are experimenting with electronic shelf labels (ESLs) that allow them to change prices dynamically throughout the day, you can proactively implement variable pricing on a less granular scale.

Use the historical sales data on your grocery POS system to spot seasonal sales spikes and drop-offs in different departments. This will help you understand which products customers are willing to pay more for in high-demand times and which items they might go to a competitor for instead.

Psychological Pricing

POSN Grocery Guide - Psych Pricing Example

What it is

Psychological pricing isn’t a specific pricing strategy, but a tactic that supplements others. It specifically refers to how prices are written out and formatted, and how it affects customer attitudes.

The classic example of psychological pricing is the power of the “.99” at the end of a price. Research backs up what many of us have instinctively felt: buying something at $4.99 simply feels different than buying it at $5.00.

Here are a few other common tactics used in grocery stores:

  • Left digit bias: Stores tend to make more sales when prices end in “99” instead of rounding up because people perceive value based on the leftmost digit in a number.
  • Center stage: When presented with three similar products and services at increasing price points, many people pick the middle option. This can be useful to keep in mind when laying out products on shelves.
  • Innumeracy: Sometimes, how a deal is worded affects how people perceive it. For example, one study found that sales increased when stores labeled a deal as “buy two items at 50% off” versus “buy one get one free” (despite giving customers the same value). 
  • Formatting: People tend to perceive longer prices as more expensive. They’re more likely to buy something marked at “$15” versus “$15.00” with the extra two digits.
When to use it

To a certain extent, you’ll always be using psychological pricing, but it’s not something you should do at random. Supermarkets are constantly adjusting prices by small amounts to provide customers a better sense of value.

How to use it

Psychological pricing tactics shouldn’t be used randomly. If you constantly change how you display prices, people will catch on and lose trust in your brand. Like all pricing strategies, have a specific goal in mind when making changes, and monitor their effectiveness using your POS system.

Try to think of how certain price points affect the perception of an item. Does placing an item next to others make it seem like a value or premium product? Does dropping the price below a certain number make it seem like a better deal?

POSN Guide - Fruits and Veg

Not sure how to price your products?
We can help.

Grocery stores have unique pricing challenges that many general retail systems cannot handle. Talk with one of our experts to see how a grocery store POS system enables you to make smarter pricing decisions and improve the shopping experience.

Price Optimization Tactics

Unlike niche retailers, most grocery stores carry a little bit of everything, which can make implementing pricing strategies overwhelming. 

Rest assured, no one expects you to painstakingly go through every product in your inventory system, running calculations and adjusting prices one by one. Here are a few tactics you can implement to optimize the prices at your store.

Setting Competitive
and Fair Prices

Small grocery stores have many rivals, and some of those rivals are corporate chains that have the resources to undercut you on price every time. 

Low prices aren’t everything — so how can you set prices in a way that’s still competitive, doesn’t undervalue your brand, and feels fair to consumers?

www.posnation.comhubfsBlog Featured Imagesgrocery-store-POS-systems

 

Step 1: Identify Your Key Value Items (KVIs)

7 - self checkout

When people perceive a store as affordable or premium, they aren’t doing it by looking at an exhaustive list of every product on the shelves. Instead, they perceive a store’s overall prices based on a few select items they buy most frequently. 

These key value items (KVIs) typically make up only 15% of overall sales but have a major impact on whether customers see your store as affordable or not. Identifying your store’s KVIs is essential for determining the products your customers are the most price-sensitive about.

To create a KVI list for your store, consider these factors:

  • Sales volume: See what your top-selling products or product categories are on a given day.
  • Basket composition: Look for items that are frequently bought together with KVIs.
  • Product categories: See if customers gravitate more towards certain types of items when they visit your store. 
  • Department: Determine which products are best sellers in every key department, even if they have lower overall sales volume. 
  • Online sales: Check if the types of groceries people order online differ slightly from what they seek out in person. 

Identifying and focusing primarily on a smaller batch of key items gives you an efficient way to influence the value perception of your brand — but remember, KVIs are not static, and you should periodically (quarterly or every six months) re-evaluate your KVI list.

Building a KVI list is useful for more than just pricing strategy. It also helps you understand the preferences of your most loyal customers, which is also helpful when building a product list or making store layout changes.

POSN Guide - Common KVIs V2

 

Step 2: Understand Geographic Pricing Factors

POSN Grocery Guide - USA Map

Grocery store pricing isn’t ubiquitous — prices will vary based on where specific stores are located. If you own multiple locations, you can’t rely on using a single pricing strategy for every store.

Whether you own one store or several, your independent grocery store has to account for local competitors, neighborhood demographics, and customer budgets. 

Start with your KVI list and compare the prices of those items against nearby competitors. These will be the items that customers are most sensitive about. If you own multiple locations, do this analysis per zip code you operate in.

However, when looking at other stores, take into account the value perception of your brand. Is your store seen as a high-end organic grocer, or is it more akin to a one-stop shop for basic staples? This will determine the exact businesses you’re competing against and the types of customers you’ll attract.

Step 3: Get Creative With Product Bundles

POSN Grocery Guide - Product Bundle

Defining pricing strategy goes hand in hand with knowing your customers’ shopping preferences. Armed with a solid KVI list and a deeper understanding of where your store fits in the local market, you can use that knowledge to create unique product bundles your customers will love.

Grocery store POS systems allow you to create unique product bundles like holiday gift baskets, chips and dip combos, spice mixes, and more. 

Product bundles allow you to:

  • Increase average cart size
  • Provide curated product pairings for customers
  • Upsell customers with frequently bought items
  • Encourage customers to buy in bulk
  • Sell underperforming or slow-moving items

Here are a few ideas for unique product bundles you can make:

  • Simplify home cooking with meal kits
  • Pair produce and dips for healthy snacks
  • Offer buy two get one free deals on select snacks
  • Sell a selection of fresh fruit and yogurt together
  • Lunch deals with select drinks, deli items, and snacks

Base your product bundles on what people like best about your store. If they love your locally-sourced meat, create BOGO offers on select cuts. If customers come in for your deli, set up your customer loyalty program to provide a discount on deli items after earning points.

 

How To Track and Adjust Pricing

Product pricing is not a set-it-and-forget-it activity, but something you’ll need to adjust over time. The grocery store supply chain, changing dietary preferences, trending products, and other factors are constantly evolving — learn to roll with the punches.

Track Essential Store KPIs

It’s hard to know how your store is performing just by walking the aisles and watching customers. 

Tracking key performance indicators (KPIs) gives you an unbiased, bird’s eye view of how your pricing affects the store’s financial health. If you’re using an updated point of sale system, many of these metrics can be tracked automatically. Make smarter pricing decisions by tracking these essential grocery store KPIs:

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Average transaction value

How much a customer spends at each visit and how many items they buy. If basket size is low, you may want to focus on product bundles and other upselling strategies.
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Inventory turnover

See how quickly inventory moves from your backroom to the checkout — calculated by department or product category. A low turnover might indicate that certain products are priced too high or that customers aren’t interested in them.
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Margin by department

Measures a department’s overall profitability. A low profit margin could indicate you’re spending more on stock than people are willing to pay.
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Margin by supplier

Understand the net profits you receive from specific suppliers and determine whether you need to adjust pricing from certain vendors or renegotiate rates.
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Operational costs

Sometimes the issue of grocery store profitability isn’t your pricing but your overhead costs. Carefully track your operational costs in your ERP or accounting system to identify areas where you can cut expenses or improve efficiency.
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Frequency of shop

Keep track of how often your customers shop in a week. See if customers go to you for all of their shopping or only for specific items.
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Shrink

See what percentage of inventory losses result from theft, spoilage, or admin errors using a combination of reports and bi annual inventory counts. If you have high food waste, you might want to adjust your pricing or inventory levels.
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Competitor prices

Periodically monitor competitor KVI prices and see whether differences (or similarities) between your prices and theirs affect sales.
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Sell-through rate

Compare the units sold against the supplier units you received to find slow and fast-moving items or to fine-tune purchase order amounts. Having a baseline rate can help you set effective low-stock alerts.

When and How To Adjust Prices

Prices need to change frequently to account for factors, some of which are predictable and many of which are not. 

So, how often should you adjust your pricing? It depends. Some factors, like new tariffs or supply chain disruption, demand a quicker response to avoid significant losses. Others, like competitors changing their prices or new residential construction in your area, might benefit from a slower, more strategic approach.

This is why many grocery stores use scenario planning in their sales forecasting strategy. By having an action plan for various scenarios like price hikes or local population growth, you can improve your reaction time when the unexpected happens.  

Here are some common situations where grocery stores might adjust their pricing.

www.marktpos.comhubfsBlog Featured ImagesMarkt POS Bloggrocery-prepared-foods-1

 

Increases to costs of goods sold (COGS) or supplier pricing

Decreases in costs

Inflation or cost-of-living changes

Consistent customer feedback about pricing or selection

Slow-moving inventory or soon-to-expire items
Supply chain disruption (e.g., bad weather, food safety incident, etc.)
Changing neighborhood demographics
Regulatory and legal changes
Seasonal adjustments
Pre-planned promotions and sales
Competitors charging more for less
(and vice versa)

Leverage Technology for Better Visibility and Decision Making

The biggest challenge in grocery store pricing strategy is a lack of visibility. 

When grocery store owners are tracking inventory or calculating profit margins by hand, it gets exponentially harder to proactively adjust pricing and monitor the impact of pricing changes. 

This is one of the many reasons grocery stores and food markets are throwing out their traditional cash registers and upgrading to a modern point of sale system. More than just processing payments, a POS system tracks inventory in real time, streamlines purchase orders and supplier management, manages customer loyalty and marketing, and more. 

Having all business functions in one place means that a POS system constantly collects data that can be used for better pricing decisions. 

Systems built specifically for grocery stores make essential information easy to find and include pre-built dashboards tailored to help store owners optimize profit margins and inventory selection.

Grocery Reporting Dashboard

Emerging Pricing Tech and Strategies

Grocery stores have been a staple in our communities for generations. At the end of the day, it’s superior customer service and quality that will make an independent grocery store shine. 

But, just like inventory management software and other modern systems are helping grocery stores of all sizes do their jobs more efficiently, some emerging technologies could shake up how they manage pricing.

Digital and Dynamic Pricing

Several new technologies, like digital price tags and artificial intelligence (AI), have the potential to reshape how pricing is handled in grocery stores. Though many of these technologies are only being rolled out at big chains, they are worth keeping an eye on to see how customers react.

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Electronic shelf labels (ESLs)

ESLs reflect prices with a digital display and typically connect to the store’s POS system via Bluetooth. Digital shelf labels are gaining traction among groceries and other retailers lately because they can quickly be updated.

With a digital shelf label, you can update prices instantly instead of over hours or weeks. With no physical labels, it will also cut down on paper waste from manually changing shelf labels or applying discount stickers.

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Dynamic pricing

Dynamic pricing models use AI and demand forecasting data to automatically adjust pricing, potentially adjusting prices in real time as competitor prices change or bad weather rolls in. 

While some experts have concerns over the potential for grocery stores to implement surge pricing, dynamic pricing tech could also help prevent food waste by automatically adjusting prices for soon-to-expire items.

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Smart carts

Larger companies like Amazon are experimenting with smart carts with a display that tallies up groceries as you put them in. This technology has the potential to let customers price their groceries before they get to the checkout.

Additionally, it could dynamically show discounts (like buy one get one offers) or ads for sale items similar to what’s in the cart already. 

Learn how the right technology can help
you stay competitive

Dialing in the perfect pricing strategy is tough, especially when you don’t have the same resources as bigger competitors. However, having a pricing strategy is better than none at all, and the latest grocery store POS systems make it significantly easier to get the information you need to make informed pricing decisions.

To make better pricing decisions, you need to:

  • Understand your current margins and expenses

  • Identify your key value items

  • Use the reports on your POS system to identify trends and monitor KPIs

  • Create action plans for when and how to implement pricing changes

  • Be open to change 

Talk with one of our grocery store experts today to see how the right system can help transform your pricing strategy, boost profits, and improve the customer experience.

Talk with a grocery store expert